Thanks to everyone who joined the most recent OpenEEmeter working group meeting.
Tim Guiterman from Sealed led off the conversation with a discussion of the need to address delivered fuels such as propane or heating oil in the CalTRACK specifications. CalTRACK's current data sufficiency requirements often limit the ability to model homes that using delivered fuels, which are common in the Northeast. Because these fuels are not necessarily delivered on a consistent cadence, CalTRACK's monthly data requirements are barrier to using it for these kinds of customers. Making CalTRACK more accessible and avoiding unnecessary disqualifications is particularly important given the new funding from the IRA and the opportunities it presents for adopting a measured pathway for incentives.
Adam Sheer and Travis Sikes then shared updates and results related to the CalTRACK Daily 2.1 model, which is nearing completion. Adam reviewed the issues CalTRACK 2.1 process is attempting to address around model bias, and the tradeoffs between adding parameters to correct bias and the need to avoid overfitting. Preliminary results on the new 2.1 model showed a dramatic improvement, reducing summer, winter and weekend bias.
Getting these kinds of improvements requires additional computations. CalTRACK 2.0 performance prohibits any additional complexity due to the time it takes to fit a model (20 - 60 seconds). This is particularly prohibitive to the cross-validation that is the lynchpin of our current improvement efforts.
To address this, Travis gave an extended presentation of how he has dramatically improved the computational efficiency of the OpenEEmeter, reducing the per-meter fitting time from 20 to 60 seconds to approximately 0.5 seconds (20-120 times faster) for an equivalent fit. For those that need or want to run the original CalTRACK 2.0, a CalTRACK 2.0 legacy mode will be included that has all of these computational efficiency improvements.
The team discussed the remaining steps needed to finalize the model formulation and are hopeful that it will be wrapped up in the next one to two months. We are excited about the progress made so far and the potential impact of the updated model.
Watch the full meeting below.
Next Meeting Scheduled: Tuesday, May 2nd, 1pm PT
The purpose of this blog is to provide a high-level overview of CalTrack progress.
For a deeper understanding or to provide input on technical aspects of CalTrack, refer to the GitHub issues page (https://github.com/CalTRACK-2/caltrack/issues).
2019 CalTRACK Kick Off:
July 19, 2018
June 28, 2018
June 7, 2018
May 24, 2018
May 3, 2018
April 12, 2018
March 29, 2018
March 15, 2018
March 1, 2018
February 15, 2018
February 1, 2018